MU's Current Conditions: (at 16:36) Temp: 82 F | Dew Point: 76 | Wind: SE - 6 mph
SPECIAL WEATHER DISCUSSION (Updated twice weekly, but more often when storms threaten.)

* A Comfortable July 4th Weekend, The Heat Builds...*

9:30am Tuesday, June 28:
Today will be a final warm and muggy day ahead of another extended spell of relative comfortable summer weather. Scattered late-day showers (perhaps a few isolated severe storms) will develop as a cold front crosses the region this evening. Somewhat cooler, drier air will then take hold for the final two days of June, ending what has been an unremarkable and uneventful first month of meteorological Summer.

July will begin with the return of jet stream troughiness over the Great Lakes and Northeast. This pattern has been a recurrent theme in recent weeks, and it's blessing for folks who dislike sustained heat in our region. While warm air occasionally attempts a move into the region, this upper-level pattern has brought frequent fronts to clear and cool the air. Another front in the series will move through on Friday (chance of showers), thus ushering in another comfortable air mass for the July 4th weekend.

One thing to watch is how far south this front moves before stalling--should it stall not far south of the MD border, then this opens the door for a few showers this weekend. Hopefully high pressure will press it farther south, so that we have a dry, pleasant spell through Monday, July 4th.

This pattern can't last forever, right? Actually, it's my sense that this pattern is winding down...and the jet stream will soon shift into a more typical summer configuration. If I'm right about this, temps will rise high into the 80s for several days next week and possibly hit the 90s on a couple of days between July 6th and 12th. Weak cold fronts will likely still approach the county from the north, but they are less likely to drive far to our south. Still, this may set us up for a bout or two of severe weather into mid-July. --Horst



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