11:00 a.m. Tuesday, August 25, 2026:
The last week of August kicked off on a partly-to-mostly sunny, cooler
and less humid note. In the wake of Sunday's cold frontal passage,
northwesterly winds of 8-16 mph ushered a refreshing and even fall-
like air mass into the Commonwealth. High temperatures were around 5°F
below average Monday afternoon, and dewpoints bottomed out in the low-
to-mid 50s. This morning then kicked off on a comfortably cool note
with lows in the mid 50s (outlying areas) to low 60s (urban centers),
and we'll be treated to a "repeat performance" of Monday's weather
today and tonight. A trough, or dip in the Jet Stream, over the
Northeast will continue to promote partly-to-mostly sunny and
beautiful conditions this afternoon with high temperatures in the
upper 70s to perhaps 80F for most. Dewpoints will remain between 55-
60°F through tonight, and minimum temperatures early Wednesday morning
should be similar to this morning. Needless to say, it'll be a perfect
day to get outside after work or school and ideal night for sleeping
with the windows open!
A sprawling high pressure system will settle into the mid-Atlantic
States on Wednesday, but it will quickly shift into the western
Atlantic later Wednesday into Thursday. On its backside, a persistent,
southerly breeze will draw warmer and more seasonable air into
northern MD and southeastern PA. As a result, high temperatures should
be back in the seasonably warm mid 80s Wednesday afternoon under
mostly sunny skies, but dewpoints won't rise much if at all until
Wednesday evening. That being said, they'll jump dramatically during
the overnight hours and peak in the upper 60s to low 70s on Thursday.
Due to increasing clouds and the higher humidity, Wednesday night will
feel more oppressive again with low temperatures in the upper 60s to
perhaps 70°F. Most of you will probably want to turn the air
conditioning back on before going to bed and then keep it running
through the end of the week.
The threat for showers and locally heavy, drenching thunderstorms will
return on Thursday and stick around through Friday. Broad, south-to-
southwesterly flow both at the surface and aloft will draw ample
amounts of moisture back into the mid-Atlantic States, and multiple,
upper-level disturbances will interact with the unstable air mass to
trigger the storms. Wind shear, or a change in wind speed and/or
direction with increasing height above the ground, will be relatively
low, but the strongest storms may still be capable of producing
frequent lightning, torrential downpours and wind gusts up to 50 mph
Thursday afternoon and evening. Ahead of the storms, high temperatures
should reach the low-to-mid 80s with peak heat indices around 90°F.
The storms should weaken during the mid-to-late evening hours, but a
second round may erupt on Friday. A weak cold front sagging
southeastward through the Commonwealth will spark Friday's storms, but
they should be far more isolated and also weaker than Thursday despite
similar temperatures and dewpoints. Be alert for flooding of low-
lying, urban- and poor-drainage areas during the Thursday afternoon
commute, as well as minor debris on some roadways. Any similar issues
on Friday will be far more localized and the exception rather than the
rule. Behind the front, a large high pressure system will settle into
the eastern Great Lakes region and Northeast this weekend. The Lower
Susquehanna Valley will be on the southern periphery of the high
pressure's area of influence, so temperatures and humidity may be
similar to or just slightly lower than Thursday and Friday. However,
the large-scale subsidence, or sinking motion, beneath the high should
promote a partly-to-mostly sunny and generally dry weekend suited well
for outdoor activities. Noticeably hotter and even more humid air may
then return early next week on the backside of the high pressure
system, but to what extent is relatively uncertain. Meteorological
summer ends on Monday, August 31, but it certainly looks like more 90-
degree days lie ahead in September. Stay tuned! -- Elliott
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